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The Smith Institute
Labour pains
The Labour Government might have been an unprecedented economic success, but, argues Wilf Stevenson, Director,The Smith Institute, it must not rest on its laurels to achieve a third term in office

In a little over 12 months’ time, the British government and the British people will, in all likelihood, be preparing for a General Election. For the Labour government, having won huge majorities in the 1997 and 2001 General Elections, the Election will mark its bid for a “third-term”.

For a Labour government in Britain, this is unprecedented. In political terms, it is a remarkable achievement as no previous Labour government has ever won a second term, let alone a third. In economic terms, it is a remarkable achievement as no previous Labour government has ever been able to avoid being blown off course – and blown out of office – by the financial markets. Indeed, it is fair to say that it is because of the successful stewardship of the economy that a third term is possible at all. The foundation of this success has been the raft of economic reforms put in place by the Rt Hon Gordon Brown MP, Chancellor of the Exchequer’s Treasury team since 1997. Having made the Bank of England independent, along with other structural reforms, such as the Government’s fiscal rules and incentives to encourage capital markets, the British government has presided over a period of economic stability previously unseen for most of the 20th century.

For the British people, this stability has provided security – the security of knowing that inflation rates are at their lowest for 30 years; the security of knowing that interest rates are at their lowest since 1955 and that there are more people in work in Britain than at any time in our history.

What makes these achievements all the more impressive is that they have taken place against a backdrop of global instability and economic downturn. In the Middle East, war in Iraq added an extra dimension to continued uncertainty, which has fed high oil prices. In Asia, the continuing poor performance of the Japanese economy and slower-than-expected Chinese growth has had an impact. So, too, has the outbreak of SARS. Closer to home, sluggish growth in Germany has adversely affected many countries in Central and Eastern Europe.

Against this fall in global confidence and demand, the British economy has remained robust and has charted a steady path in what have been uncertain times. While unemployment in America now touches 6%, in Germany, Italy and the euro area it is 9%, and in France 10%. In Britain, it is 5%.

Indeed, for the first time in 50 years, British unemployment is lower than every one of our major competitors – the euro area, Japan and America. While America, Japan, and half of the euro area have suffered recessions, the British economy has, uniquely, grown uninterrupted, free of recession, for every single quarter and every single year since 1997.

A brief glance at the history books should suggest that the British economy would be the first to enter a global recession and the last to recover from it. In short, the post-1997 British economic model bucks both global and historic trends. But rather than retreat in the comfort of these achievements – considerable though they are – it is vital that the government builds on this progress to strengthen enterprise, and the enterprise culture throughout the UK. It is this challenge that is likely to form the centrepiece of the government’s “third-term” ambitions.

Today in Britain, there are large and persistent differences in economic performance between and within regions and sub regions. Underpinning those differences are large disparities in the levels of enterprise up, down and across the country. Analysis shows that, across the UK, start-up rates in the best performing areas are 10 times those of the worst, contributing to an enterprise gap in our inner cities of 88,000 companies, £5bn in turnover and tens of thousands of jobs.

Greater levels of enterprise are also needed if we are to compete with our international competitors. Again, the evidence is compelling, with business start-up rates in the US almost twice as high as those in Britain. The government knows how important enterprise is to the British economy. It knows enterprise boosts productivity, creates employment and prosperity, and helps revitalise our communities. Because of this, the government approach has been to change attitudes to enterprise – from the classroom to the boardroom – and to tackle the difficulties that entrepreneurs can face in starting and growing their businesses in every part of the country. In the main regions of the UK – Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland and the nine English “regions” – the government has established a constitutional and institutional framework which allows for greater freedom to boost enterprise, tackle capital, labour and product market failures closer to the areas where those decisions will have greatest impact.

The government understands the importance of removing the barriers and opening the opportunities to enterprise in the UK. But entrepreneurs understand that in a new era of globalisation, barriers to enterprise must be tackled, wherever they exist. Given that the EU market is a major international market for UK entrepreneurs – 55% of total trade – where barriers to enterprise exist in Europe, they must be tackled. Although the 2000 Lisbon Council saw heads of state vow to make Europe “the most competitive and knowledge-based economy in the world”, a great deal remains to be done to unblock Europe’s entrepreneurial potential.

In January 2004, the UK government – with the French and German governments – made a start in trying to break down the enterprise barriers. It called for the EU to reduce regulatory barriers to enterprise, to overcome social and cultural barriers, and to improve access to finance for new businesses and for all businesses seeking to develop and grow. If the challenging goals set at Lisbon are to be met, it is vital that policy makers in Europe take decisive action to tackle the barriers currently constraining enterprise in the EU. Only then will the EU be able to claim to be the most competitive economy in the world.

Nothing symbolises more Gordon Brown’s determination to prioritise enterprise than the conference he recently hosted on Advancing Enterprise in London. Speaking at the conference, the Chancellor said: “I believe now is the right time to remove all unnecessary barriers to wealth creation, open up enterprise to all and propel forward what can be a British enterprise renaissance.”

Having built and entrenched stability in the UK economy since 1997, the UK government realises the importance of building enterprise at the local, regional, European and international levels as a means to provide “opportunity for all”. Having bucked global and historic economic trends, the next step for the British government is to build an enterprise culture that breeds even greater levels of wealth, employment and prosperity than those seen since 1997. Should this government win an historic third-term, this will surely be the key challenge.

The Smith Institute is an independent think tank, which has been set up to undertake research and education in issues that flow from the changing relationship between social values and economic imperatives. In recent years, the Institute has centred its work on the policy implications arising from the interactions of equality, enterprise and equity.



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